Tuesday, March 07, 2006

Synopsis of My Research Work on Strategic Dimensions of Sino-US Relations on South Asian Securiy in the Post cold war Period



SYNOPSIS

Strategic Dimensions of Sino-US Relations on South Asian Security
in the Post Cold war Period

ANIL KUMAR. P.

Introduction

Both the United States and China are going to walk a tight rope, balancing each other's interests and priorities. China is a growing world economic power with its threefold theory and market socialism and its conflicting and strategic relationship with US constitute a new era in international politics in the post cold war phase. In the absence of a core conflict in international system, regional security dynamics have assumed greater importance. In the post cold war period while some regions have undergone peaceful change, others have experienced unprecedented conflict. Since 1990, South Asia has been in the news for a number of reasons. Since 1990, South Asia has been in the news for a number of reasons. Security concerns, problems of economic reforms, political instability, democratization, ethnic conflicts regional conflict and co-operation, the nuclear tests of May 1998 and the Kargil War between India and Pakistan in the summer of 1999, all these have made the region a turbulent zone over the past decade. The US and China are two major powers having considerable influence over the region. Their divergent interests in the area have very much significance regarding the security of South Asia. Terrorism, nuclearisation and the South Asian powers engagement with it provided a realm of strategic relationship and the security concerns of South Asia connected with it assumes a special significance.

Statement of the Problem

In this era of globalization, inevitably Washington and Beijing are moving towards strategic competition and great power rivalry. In this context there exists a question that whether this power rivalry and conflicts can be peacefully managed or not. As economy and military strength are the two major factors behind the power consolidation Sino-US Relations are analysed on the basis of this. It is necessary to find out problems and prospects related to it. China is considered by US as a competitor and a potential regional rival at the same time it is a trading partner willing to co-operate with the US in certain areas including containment of terrorism. Taiwan issue, US surveillance activities in the South China Sea, issues related to Human Rights etc constitute problems in Sino-US relations. The impact of Sino-US relations and its implications up on the security of South Asia is a significant factor in the context that the strategic allies of both these powers in South Asia going to face a dilemma in their attitude towards these nations. India's growing relations with United States and China's strong and continuing relationship with Pakistan create a new phase regarding South Asian Security. Nuclear explosions, arms race and conflicts between India and Pakistan and both United States and China's attitude towards it constitute an important factor. Obviously the balance of South Asian security is mainly depended up on these nations.
Will the US avoid the error of abandoning Afghanistan after its goal of ridding the region of AlQueda is met? Will it remain engaged sufficiently with Pakistan to help restructure that country's domestic institutions and its external priorities? These are important questions in this specific context of study. India's co-operation with United States in National Missile Defence and China's nexus with Pakistan also creates a problematique area in South Asian security. To what extent economic relations between US and China and both them have with South Asia can provide an adequate basis for not only reducing tensions but also promoting increased co-operation is also a matter of doubt. It may be noted that during 1956-1973 China's ties with India were at the lowest ebb. Nearly 20% of China's total world aid was targeted to the other South Asian countries with Pakistan receiving 13.1%, Sri Lanka 3.5%, and Nepal 2.9%. On the basis of this historical fact the present situation wanted a thorough and deep study regarding Sino-US relations and South Asian Security.

Significance of the Study

China's experiment with "Market Socialism" provide a strong economic base to China and now it is growing as a world power. It is viewed by the scholars as a great threat to Untied States and its hegemony. Because in South East Asia and South Asia they have divergent and conflicting interests and both these nations are in different position regarding certain international issues. United States arms sales to Taiwan, their surveillance activities in South China Sea and different issues regarding human rights etc constitute problems between China and United States. As having a powerful influence over South Asia by both these nations, the relationship between both creates some security issues. Any problem in bilateral relationship of both these nations and its impact up on South Asia which was an important component of the world, boasting as it does a vast land area of five million square km and 1-3 billion diligent and talented people will endanger the whole security of the world. The future of South Asian security and both these nations ties with the region will depend largely on the continued diplomatic skills and policy orientations that actors exhibit in the months and years ahead. In this context the study about strategic-economic dimensions of Sino-US relations and its impact up on the security of South Asia is a contemporary one and having so much significance in the era of globalization.

Objectives of the Study

1. To analyse the military dimensions of Sino-US relations and its problems and prospects in the post cold war era.
2. To find out the divergent interests of US and China in South Asia and to analyse how it will affect the region, especially in the context of the nuclear experiments of India and Pakistan.
3. To understand the attitude and perception of political forces in India and Pakistan towards the impact on the Sino-US relations and its impact on South Asia.
4. To trace the future prospects in bilateral relations and the future of South Asian Security

Hypothesis

On the basis of the above-mentioned objectives following hypothesis can be formulated.
1. Divergent strategic competition and power rivalry between US and China can redefine the security concerns in South Asia.
2. The attitude and perception of political forces in India and Pakistan towards the impact on US-China relations and its impact on South Asia is an important factor in shaping the future Sino-US relations.
3. Diverging interests of US and China in India and Pakistan may compelled them to the redefinition of their security concerns in South Asia.
4. The strategic allies of both US and China in South Asia are now in a dilemma in their attitude towards these super powers because of the mutual suspect, historical estrangements and conflicting interests. Their ties with these powers and vice-versa will depend on largely on the continued diplomatic skills and policy orientations that actors exhibit in the era of globalization.

Methodology

Methodology adopted for the will be a combination of historical, analytical and empirical. The data will be drawn from primary and secondary sources. Primary data are collected from the publications of MEA, speeches and policy statements of the leaders of the different nations and interview with diplomats, leaders, scholars, journalists etc. Books, Journals, Periodicals, News papers etc will be used as secondary source. Internet sources will also be consulted.

Plan of Work

1) Theoretical framework
2) Sino-US Relations and south Asian Security: A Historical background
3) Strategic and military dimensions of Sino-US relation in the post cold war era
4) Sino-US Relations and South Asian Security: Perspectives of India and Pakistan
5) Sino-US Relations and South Asian Security in the Changing Context
6) Major Findings and Conclusion

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